Colony Capital Bottom Seekers – How Big Is The Cushion?

Colony Capital has fallen 62% since the January 2017 Northstar merger The stock trades at 8 times forecast 2018 FFO, one of the lowest multiples in the sector Management has made slow progress at simplifying the business Tangible assets are worth about $0.3Bn less than carrying value, Healthcare overvaluation partially offset by Industrial and Hotels … Continue reading Colony Capital Bottom Seekers – How Big Is The Cushion?

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Colony Northstar Delivered a 50% Return. What’s Next?

Colony Northstar (CLNS) management did an admirable job of bringing their 3-way merger to completion.  Northstar Asset Management (NSAM) shareholders have earned a total return over 50% since I wrote last July that shares had potential for a 60% return (LINK).  What next? CLNS has not updated its future guidance since the initial merger presentation … Continue reading Colony Northstar Delivered a 50% Return. What’s Next?

Northstar Realty Europe – Activist Sees Opportunity in Advisor’s Change of Control

, UPDATE May 31 2017: Activist Bow Street Capital sold all of its Northstar Realty Europe shares to Colony Northstar on May 12 (link to SEC filing) and withdrew its acquisition offer. Bow Street LLC has offered to buy Northstar Realty Europe for $13/share (LINK): "We firmly believe that NRE’s true value will never be … Continue reading Northstar Realty Europe – Activist Sees Opportunity in Advisor’s Change of Control

No Real Excitement for Northstar Realty Europe

The pending Colony Northstar merger (described in prior articles) did not address the future of Northstar Realty Europe (NRE).  NRE claims to be undervalued for reasons similar to Northstar Realty Finance (NRF) (see NRE presentation): Share price ($9.86 on 10/27) is well below Net Asset Value independently assessed at $16.64 at 6/30/16. Quarterly dividend of … Continue reading No Real Excitement for Northstar Realty Europe

Does the Colony Northstar Merger Offer Fair Value to NSAM Shareholders?

Activist shareholders of Northstar Asset Management (NYSE:NSAM) have signaled an intention to vote against the proposed three way merger with Colony Capital and Northstar Realty Finance.  Background in prior articles Colony Northstar: Will this team of overpaid former all-stars end up like the Brooklyn Nets? describes the merger transaction and the problems at NSAM and Northstar Realty … Continue reading Does the Colony Northstar Merger Offer Fair Value to NSAM Shareholders?

Colony Northstar: Merger Pros and Cons for NSAM

Shares of the Colony Northstar merger parties have rebounded from their initial collapse after the announcement creating "A world-class diversified real estate and investment management platform": The background of the merger and the potential benefits were described in my earlier article (Colony Northstar: Will this team of overpaid former all-stars end up like the Brooklyn … Continue reading Colony Northstar: Merger Pros and Cons for NSAM

Colony Northstar: Will this team of overpaid former all-stars end up like the Brooklyn Nets?

(slightly revised 7/6/16) In one month after the announcement of a merger creating "A world-class diversified real estate and investment management platform", shares of the three merger parties shares are all down sharply:   While the merger does not meet unrealistic expectations of some Northstar Realty (NRF ) and Northstar Asset Management (NSAM) holders the combination would … Continue reading Colony Northstar: Will this team of overpaid former all-stars end up like the Brooklyn Nets?