October 2018 NBS Price Data in Leading Chinese Cities

China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released its monthly report on home sale prices (LINK).  The segregation of “15 Hot Cities” in the NBS report implies that they will be the primary focus of government policy: Intense market restrictions kept prices flat for many months in these key markets, but the average has recently been boosted  … Continue reading October 2018 NBS Price Data in Leading Chinese Cities

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Xinyuan Real Estate Update: Did you know about the 75Bn RMB investment plan?

Contract sales have been strong - unsold inventory is at a multi-year low Gross margins have been satisfactory - estimated 28% for projects under development 75Bn RMB (>$11Bn) Xinchuang Technology investment plan could transform the company. Leverage must decrease - ratings outlook is negative and XIN bonds are yielding 18% Property Management subsidiary is preparing … Continue reading Xinyuan Real Estate Update: Did you know about the 75Bn RMB investment plan?

September 2018 NBS Price Data in Leading Chinese Cities

China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released its monthly report on home sale prices (LINK).  The segregation of “15 Hot Cities” in the NBS report implies that they will be the primary focus of government policy: Intense market restrictions kept prices flat for many months in these key markets, but the average has been boosted  by … Continue reading September 2018 NBS Price Data in Leading Chinese Cities

Three China Real Estate Bargains

China real estate developers have fallen far from their 52-week highs (LINK). Home prices in some major cities closely monitored by the government have begun rising and suggest an informal relaxation of housing market restrictions (LINK). Looser fiscal and monetary policy is boosting domestic consumption to offset the economic and psychological impact of US trade … Continue reading Three China Real Estate Bargains

August 2018 NBS Price Data in Leading Chinese Cities

China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released its monthly report on home sale prices (LINK).  The segregation of “15 Hot Cities” in the NBS report implies that they will be the primary focus of government policy: Intense market restrictions kept prices flat for many months in these key markets, but the average has been boosted  by … Continue reading August 2018 NBS Price Data in Leading Chinese Cities

China Real Estate Companies are Cheap

The bear came back with a gift of cheap equities.  After rising 102% in 2017 the MSCI China Real Estate index fell 5.6% in 8M18.  The largest 43 China real estate companies traded in Hong Kong (plus Xinyuan in NY) are down an average of 38% from one year highs and trading at 5.7 times … Continue reading China Real Estate Companies are Cheap

Xinyuan Science & Technology Service (NEEQ:870929) Outstanding 1H18 Results

Xinyuan Science & Technology Service (XSTS), the property management subsidiary of Xinyuan Real Estate, filed its 1H18 Report (LINK).  Even though XSTS shares are not yet trading publicly, the NEEQ listing provides visibility into the rapid growth of Xinyuan’s recurring revenues and income from this business.  Highlights: The company’s NEEQ listing was approved on 3/15/17 … Continue reading Xinyuan Science & Technology Service (NEEQ:870929) Outstanding 1H18 Results

July 2018 NBS Price Data in Leading Chinese Cities

China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released its monthly report on home sale prices (LINK).  The segregation of “15 Hot Cities” in the NBS report implies that they will be the primary focus of government policy: Intense market restrictions kept prices flat for many months in these key markets, but the average has been boosted  by … Continue reading July 2018 NBS Price Data in Leading Chinese Cities

June 2018 NBS Price Data in Leading Chinese Cities

China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released its monthly report on home sale prices (LINK).  The segregation of “15 Hot Cities” in the NBS report implies that they will be the primary focus of government policy: Intense market restrictions kept prices flat for many months in these key markets until a slight uptick last month in … Continue reading June 2018 NBS Price Data in Leading Chinese Cities